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Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: https://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/198049
Título : Alternative scenarios of the demographic development of rural Russia: analysis and forecast
Palabras clave : Demografía;Forecast;Scenarios;Population;Rural Russia
Editorial : Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México
Descripción : "The purpose of the study is to discuss the alternative scenarios of the demographic development of rural Russia. The Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic has changed the demographic situation in Russia: mortality and natural population decline increased, while the birth rate decreased. Based on the cohort-component method, we projected the rural population size and age structure for the period 2024-2049. Six alternative scenarios were developed: three with zero migration (without taking into account the impact of migration changes on the rural population) and three with migration. Therefore, the migration outflow coefficient was included in the three forecasting scenarios. However, the inflow of some urban population to the countryside is not ruled out. The results show that the population of rural Russia will decrease from 37.3 million (2019) to 29.6-33.1 million people (2049). The age structure of the population will change, the demographic aging of rural areas will continue."
URI : https://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/198049
Otros identificadores : 1405-7425
https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=11272504002
Aparece en las colecciones: Centro de Investigación y Estudios Avanzados de la Población - CIEAP/UAEM - Cosecha

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