Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities

Cinner, J. E.; Caldwell, I. R.; Thiault, L.; Ben, J.; Blanchard, J. L.; /Coll, Marta; Diedrich, A.; Eddy, T. D.; Everett, J. D.; Folberth, C.; Gascuel, D.; Guiet, J.; Gurney, G. G.; Heneghan, R. F.; Jagermeyr, J.; Jiddawi, N.; Lahari, R.; Kuange, J.; Liu, W. F.; /Maury, Olivier; Muller, C.; Novaglio, C.; Palacios-Abrantes, J.; Petrik, C. M.; Rabearisoa, A.; Tittensor, D. P.; Wamukota, A.; Pollnac, R.

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dc.creator	Cinner, J. E.
dc.creator	Caldwell, I. R.
dc.creator	Thiault, L.
dc.creator	Ben, J.
dc.creator	Blanchard, J. L.
dc.creator	/Coll, Marta
dc.creator	Diedrich, A.
dc.creator	Eddy, T. D.
dc.creator	Everett, J. D.
dc.creator	Folberth, C.
dc.creator	Gascuel, D.
dc.creator	Guiet, J.
dc.creator	Gurney, G. G.
dc.creator	Heneghan, R. F.
dc.creator	Jagermeyr, J.
dc.creator	Jiddawi, N.
dc.creator	Lahari, R.
dc.creator	Kuange, J.
dc.creator	Liu, W. F.
dc.creator	/Maury, Olivier
dc.creator	Muller, C.
dc.creator	Novaglio, C.
dc.creator	Palacios-Abrantes, J.
dc.creator	Petrik, C. M.
dc.creator	Rabearisoa, A.
dc.creator	Tittensor, D. P.
dc.creator	Wamukota, A.
dc.creator	Pollnac, R.
dc.date	2022
dc.date.accessioned	2022-10-14T18:38:26Z
dc.date.available	2022-10-14T18:38:26Z
dc.identifier	https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010085412
dc.identifier	oai:ird.fr:fdi:010085412
dc.identifier	Cinner J. E., Caldwell I. R., Thiault L., Ben J., Blanchard J. L., Coll Marta, Diedrich A., Eddy T. D., Everett J. D., Folberth C., Gascuel D., Guiet J., Gurney G. G., Heneghan R. F., Jagermeyr J., Jiddawi N., Lahari R., Kuange J., Liu W. F., Maury Olivier, Muller C., Novaglio C., Palacios-Abrantes J., Petrik C. M., Rabearisoa A., Tittensor D. P., Wamukota A., Pollnac R.. Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities. 2022, 13 (1), p. 3530 [11 p.]
dc.identifier.uri	https://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/169896
dc.description	Climate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries (Indonesia, Madagascar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Tanzania). Our study reveals three key findings: First, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. Second, while most locations (> 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. Third, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status. Responses of agriculture and fisheries to climate change are interlinked, yet rarely studied together. Here, the authors analyse more than 3000 households from 5 tropical countries and forecast mid-century climate change impacts, finding that communities with higher fishery dependence and lower socioeconomic status communities face greater losses.
dc.language	EN
dc.title	Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries production in 72 tropical coastal communities
dc.type	text
dc.coverage	INDONESIE
dc.coverage	MADAGASCAR
dc.coverage	PAPOUASIE NOUVELLE GUINEE
dc.coverage	PHILIPPINES
dc.coverage	TANZANIE
dc.coverage	OCEAN INDIEN
dc.coverage	PACIFIQUE
dc.coverage	ZONE TROPICALE