1. Repositorio institucional de CLACSO
2. Colección de los Centros Asociados
3. Brasil
4. Instituto de Estudios Sociales y Políticos - IESP/UERJ - Cosecha

Título :	Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
Palabras clave :	Sociología;Presidential elections economic indicators election preferences
Editorial :	Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
Descripción :	This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set containing aggregate measures of self-reported preferences for the Presidential candidates and economic indicators (inflation, unemployment, exchange rate, C-Bond spread, and the São Paulo Stock Exchange Index). The first hypothesis refers to the potential simultaneity between economic indicators and voting intentions. Other hypotheses relate to the varied impact of different economic indicators on the intention to vote for a specific Presidential candidate as opposed to others. The results indicate that retrospective voting, based on the performance of economic fundamentals and not the financial market, predominates in Brazil.
URI :	http://biblioteca-repositorio.clacso.edu.ar/handle/CLACSO/49465
Otros identificadores :	http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102
Aparece en las colecciones:	Instituto de Estudios Sociales y Políticos - IESP/UERJ - Cosecha

Los ítems de DSpace están protegidos por copyright, con todos los derechos reservados, a menos que se indique lo contrario.